Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.361562 0.474483 0.597862 0.740672 0.899618 1.069526 1.263401
2025-06-08 0.184224 0.323004 0.494594 0.711737 0.970640 1.262586 1.610544
2025-06-15 0.116522 0.263011 0.462361 0.729862 1.061920 1.447251 1.916665
2025-06-22 0.063963 0.203625 0.416869 0.720911 1.113002 1.579781 2.159141
2025-06-29 0.029277 0.153264 0.370974 0.701311 1.142839 1.680549 2.358702
2025-07-06 0.016636 0.136700 0.370600 0.739855 1.243992 1.865936 2.657296
2025-07-13 0.009232 0.126229 0.377079 0.786149 1.353959 2.061348 2.967384
2025-07-20 0.004095 0.115379 0.380315 0.826208 1.454744 2.244804 3.262738
2025-07-27 0.002427 0.116492 0.404402 0.896819 1.596241 2.479223 3.620127
2025-08-03 0.000639 0.109717 0.412299 0.942353 1.703589 2.670589 3.925114
2025-08-10 NaN 0.092255 0.396110 0.949286 1.757384 2.793596 4.146077
2025-08-17 NaN 0.063039 0.347612 0.901400 1.733029 2.815258 4.241053
2025-08-24 NaN 0.036962 0.295851 0.845502 1.698428 2.827182 4.329821
2025-08-31 NaN 0.022565 0.265191 0.821230 1.706860 2.894049 4.486821
2025-09-07 NaN 0.017127 0.259195 0.838832 1.775011 3.038383 4.740150
2025-09-14 NaN 0.009901 0.239700 0.829739 1.802743 3.128675 4.925017
2025-09-21 NaN 0.004046 0.215363 0.808478 1.810604 3.191408 5.074155
2025-09-28 NaN 0.003502 0.223203 0.850016 1.913545 3.381715 5.385758
2025-10-05 NaN 0.003451 0.235090 0.899748 2.029131 3.589218 5.719521
2025-10-12 NaN 0.003058 0.243616 0.942718 2.134450 3.783014 6.035977
2025-10-19 NaN 0.004376 0.268194 1.018295 2.289893 4.044605 6.439239
2025-10-26 NaN 0.004233 0.279424 1.066935 2.404156 4.250784 6.771920
2025-11-02 NaN 0.002212 0.270466 1.074334 2.455050 4.371413 6.995354